Revealed: Big bank insider predictions for 2025

December 19, 2024
Capi 01d52420af55f78551b8f9fd0f3079c6 1d65a7c36e3706f792f72b8cffd35f5f

Denton Pugh believes the property dream is not over for thousands of Aussies looking to get into the market.


A key executive at one of Australia’s top four banks – NAB head of home lending Denton Pugh – shares his insider take on summer’s housing peaks and what’s coming in 2025, saying ‘the property dream is far from over’ for Aussies.

Capi 01d52420af55f78551b8f9fd0f3079c6 D0a48cc330f4998db545be47a11f68fa

The holidays should be used as a time to prepare for what’s coming. Picture: NCA NewsWire / Max Mason-Hubers


‘Dream is far from over’

As Australia’s bustling spring auction season comes to a close, it’s easy for hopeful buyers to feel the ticking clock and worry about dwindling listings. But here’s the good news, the property market is far from done, and your dream home might just be waiting for you in the months ahead.

The rush of weekly auctions, the buzz of new listings, and the thrill (or heartbreak) of bidding wars seem to define the property market at this time of year, but just because the calendar says the season is over, it doesn’t mean the opportunities are.

The smartest buyers know the next few months are just as crucial – and often less crowded – for securing their dream home.

The final auctions of 2024 are set for 21 December, closing a season that saw solid competition but also plenty of properties passed in. According to CoreLogic, national clearance rates hovered around 59% this spring – down from 64% last year – leaving a significant portion of unsold stock that will linger into the New Year.

Capi 01d52420af55f78551b8f9fd0f3079c6 19e4997167d732fe8a6d0e502e93cceb

The final auctions of the year are being held December 21. Picture: NCA NewsWire / Max Mason-Hubers


January

While many assume the property market hibernates through the summer months, January is often a hidden gem in the calendar – a chance to negotiate without the heat of spring’s action frenzy.

Why is this? For one, properties that didn’t sell under the hammer are still out there.

While the market may appear quiet and many buyers typically have a break, savvy buyers know it’s the perfect time to negotiate more persuasively for stock that hasn’t sold during spring and explore off-market opportunities.

This opens up a golden window for buyers who are ready to act. With fewer people actively searching over the holidays, there’s less competition and more room for negotiation.

While January might seem quiet on the surface, behind the scenes, agents are busy testing the waters with sellers. Many are gauging interest and quietly sharing pre-listing opportunities with buyers who’ve taken the time to build a relationship with them.

Of course, January isn’t the only month where opportunity may be overlooked.

Capi 01d52420af55f78551b8f9fd0f3079c6 83d75ba987a2f56e32ec00ba534a5a77

NAB home lending executive Denton Pugh.

February

The New Year brings with it a surge of activity. By February, families returning from holidays and sellers eager to capitalise on the market’s renewed energy will drive a fresh wave of listings.

Over the past four years NAB data shows the number of home loan approvals in February jumps on average 42% compared to January.

And historically, by the end of February listings jump by over 100% compared to early January, offering buyers a broader range of options. But the catch? So does the competition.

The real work for February’s surge starts now – updating your budget, refreshing pre-approvals, and researching the suburbs that fit your lifestyle and financial goals.

Capi 01d52420af55f78551b8f9fd0f3079c6 6d0a39b8456a8dab3a045cea6d6c2986

Three of Australia’s big four banks expect interest rates to drop in May. Picture: NCA NewsWire


As much as property feels like a sprint, it’s really a marathon. Those who succeed understand the importance of timing, patience, and strategy. They know the quieter weeks ahead aren’t a time to switch off but to prepare.

Whether it’s sniffing out January’s hidden opportunities or positioning yourself for February’s fresh listings, the dream of homeownership doesn’t pause just because the auction season does.

So, take a breather during the festive season – enjoy time with family, enjoy the barbecues, enjoy the beach – but stay prepared. Your perfect home might be just around the corner.

** Denton Pugh is National Australia Bank’s executive for home lending.

 

Source: realestate.com.au

You might be also interested in

Image001
Melbourne Property Market Snapshot – May 2025 Recent data signals a shift in economic momentum that could benefit Melbourne property owners in the months ahead. Interest Rates Set to Fall
VIEW POST
Ire4697136 Flemington 2025 02 28 011335 8
You Get What You Pay For: Why the Cheapest Property Manager Could Cost You More
Not all property managers are created equal. As a landlord, choosing the right property manager is one of the most critical decisions you’ll make—yet too often, the focus is solely
VIEW POST
Capi 7ff7fcb08bf5a2053b3ac018cf0c3e35 1147c296ba5968239bae8e0f2d66e675 Copy
REA Group Rental Affordability Report – 2025
Rental affordability has worsened in the past 12 months, hitting its lowest level since at least 2008, when records began, according to the PropTrack Rental Affordability Index. Rental affordability is toughest
VIEW POST
Istock 950975006 E1727416074837
Latest inflation figures dash hopes of imminent second rate cut
New inflation data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) this week has cast doubt on whether Australians will be in line for a second rate cut in April. The
VIEW POST
Screenshot 2025 03 05 105838
PwC’s CityPulse 2025: Analysing Melbourne’s liveability
In 2025, the most liveable suburbs are those that allow people a short commute to work, plenty of amenities such as bars and restaurants as well as good access to
VIEW POST
Coburg Library 1 1536x1536
Neighbourhood Guide – Coburg
Coburg, Victoria, is a suburb that blends rich history with contemporary charm. Originally known as Pentridge, the area was renamed Coburg in the 1860s, inspired by the German town of
VIEW POST
B625b37a 9c7a 4b7c 9e83 C82c4d6fdd0c
Boost in investor activity offers relief to renters
Investor loans have been trending upwards for the past few quarters and are now above the five year average. This is contributing to an increase in rental supply and a
VIEW POST
Ire3354576 Footscray 2024 11 28 001813 17
Melbourne’s most affordable suburbs with units under $500,000 within 5km of the CBD
The property search often comes with compromise, but not for these eight remaining Melbourne suburbs located within five kilometres of the CBD and with a median unit price under $500,000.
VIEW POST
Ire3354913 Cairnlea 2025 02 16 224818 13
Melbourne’s cheapest suburbs within 5km and 10km of the CBD
Melbourne’s hopeful home buyers can find better value by looking to the west of the city, where houses can still be purchased for less than $1 million. For many Melbourne
VIEW POST
Ire3753530 Melbourne 2025 01 06 025719 9
Surprise locations where more homeowners are selling up
In 2024, more homeowners listed their properties than in the previous two years, signalling increased seller confidence despite numerous interest rate hikes. Nationally, new listings rose by 7.9% in 2024
VIEW POST

Get your Free Property Guide.

Here goes your text ... Select any part of your text to access the formatting toolbar.

Get your free Sales Report for Revealed: Big bank insider predictions for 2025

Get your free Sales Report for Revealed: Big bank insider predictions for 2025

Subscribe to hear the latest

Start The Conversation Today.

Call us on:

1300 850 730

Privacy Policy

Get your Free Property Guide

Get your free Suburb Report for Revealed: Big bank insider predictions for 2025

Get your Free PDF copy of Make Money Simple Again

Privacy Policy

Who we are

Suggested text: Our website address is: https://motionproperty.com.au.

Comments

Suggested text: When visitors leave comments on the site we collect the data shown in the comments form, and also the visitor’s IP address and browser user agent string to help spam detection.

An anonymized string created from your email address (also called a hash) may be provided to the Gravatar service to see if you are using it. The Gravatar service privacy policy is available here: https://automattic.com/privacy/. After approval of your comment, your profile picture is visible to the public in the context of your comment.

Media

Suggested text: If you upload images to the website, you should avoid uploading images with embedded location data (EXIF GPS) included. Visitors to the website can download and extract any location data from images on the website.

Cookies

Suggested text: If you leave a comment on our site you may opt-in to saving your name, email address and website in cookies. These are for your convenience so that you do not have to fill in your details again when you leave another comment. These cookies will last for one year.

If you visit our login page, we will set a temporary cookie to determine if your browser accepts cookies. This cookie contains no personal data and is discarded when you close your browser.

When you log in, we will also set up several cookies to save your login information and your screen display choices. Login cookies last for two days, and screen options cookies last for a year. If you select “Remember Me”, your login will persist for two weeks. If you log out of your account, the login cookies will be removed.

If you edit or publish an article, an additional cookie will be saved in your browser. This cookie includes no personal data and simply indicates the post ID of the article you just edited. It expires after 1 day.

Embedded content from other websites

Suggested text: Articles on this site may include embedded content (e.g. videos, images, articles, etc.). Embedded content from other websites behaves in the exact same way as if the visitor has visited the other website.

These websites may collect data about you, use cookies, embed additional third-party tracking, and monitor your interaction with that embedded content, including tracking your interaction with the embedded content if you have an account and are logged in to that website.

Who we share your data with

Suggested text: If you request a password reset, your IP address will be included in the reset email.

How long we retain your data

Suggested text: If you leave a comment, the comment and its metadata are retained indefinitely. This is so we can recognize and approve any follow-up comments automatically instead of holding them in a moderation queue.

For users that register on our website (if any), we also store the personal information they provide in their user profile. All users can see, edit, or delete their personal information at any time (except they cannot change their username). Website administrators can also see and edit that information.

What rights you have over your data

Suggested text: If you have an account on this site, or have left comments, you can request to receive an exported file of the personal data we hold about you, including any data you have provided to us. You can also request that we erase any personal data we hold about you. This does not include any data we are obliged to keep for administrative, legal, or security purposes.

Where your data is sent

Suggested text: Visitor comments may be checked through an automated spam detection service.