Rental growth is slowing, but here’s why renters are still likely to downsize

July 26, 2024

Renters can expect to see a slowdown in rental growth over the coming months, but the persistent shortage of homes available to rent will keep the pressure on tenants.  

National rents remained flat at $600 per week over the three months to June, according to the latest PropTrack Rental Report.

However, national rents have increased by $50 per week or 9.1% since June last year in what has been a significant hit to the hip pocket of many renters.

PropTrack director of economic research Cameron Kusher said rental price growth had slowed over the past year, although it still exceeded both the rate of inflation and household income growth.

“Weakening rental growth likely reflects the trade-offs that renters are making due to the heightened cost of rent and living,” Mr Kusher said.

“Some of these trade-offs may include renting smaller properties, renting in less desirable locations where rental costs are cheaper or sharing rental accommodation with other tenants.”

Tenants’ Union of NSW chief executive Officer Leo Patterson Ross said high rents had put real pressure on people’s ability to meet their other needs, including food and healthcare.

Gettyimages 1483478739

The total number of homes available to rent nationally was 4.4% lower in the June quarter, compared to the same time last year. Picture: Getty


“We continue to hear from people who are struggling to meet those needs because of high rents and an uncertain future,” Mr Patterson Ross said.

“This is true both for people trying to find a new home facing thousands of dollars more a year and for people who already have a home and are worried about their ability to keep it in the face of no grounds evictions and soaring rents.”

Where things are looking up

While conditions remain challenging, there are some signs that finding an available home to rent may be getting slightly easier as well.

New rental listings were 2.5% higher during the June quarter, compared to the previous quarter, and 2.8% higher than the same period last year.

Total rental listings grew by 10.7% throughout the June quarter, however total listings were still 4.4% lower when compared to the same period last year.

Critically, the national rental vacancy rate rose to 1.4% in the June quarter, up from 1.1% in the March quarter.

However, the national vacancy rate remained much lower than the pre-pandemic era, when the rate hovered around 2.5%.

Other factors such as renter enquiries and the amount of time that a rental home spent on the market also pointed to a slight improvement for tenants.

Annual Change In Weekly Rents

Source: PropTrack


The number of enquiries per listing fell below the levels recorded in the previous quarter and the same time last year, while the median number of days that a rental property spent on realestate.com.au was 21 days in June, up from 18 days in the previous quarter.

The need for more homes

Despite these small wins, meaningful improvements for renters won’t come unless Australia builds more homes quickly.

Greater consideration towards the financing of new housing projects and Australia’s home building capacity was needed to improve housing supply, according to PropTrack.

But the latest housing completions data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed new home supply in the first quarter of the year was well below the levels needed to house the country’s growing population.

Capi Ee87cbe0f13349046e074c5ec8dcdb8d 6698458b3a41e142fae8c2b3fcb78814

PropTrack director of economic research Cameron Kusher says rental growth will still outpace the rate of inflation despite an expected slowdown.


“The supply of homes available for renters still consistently trails the demand for rentals, with this imbalance being persistently exacerbated by limited new housing construction and a heightened number of investors exiting the market in recent years with the rebound in investor purchasing only being witnessed over the past year,” Mr Kusher said.

“While rental growth is expected to slow, we anticipate that it will continue to outpace the rate of inflation, with rental prices unlikely to stabilise in the short or medium term.”

 

Source: realestate.com.au

You might be also interested in

7df9f8c6 B035 55a6 Cfc3 595fe0320084
Melbourne’s Rental Market: Exceptionally Tight Conditions
Melbourne’s rental market continues to experience extremely tight conditions, with vacancy rates consistently below the national average.   Current Market Dynamics Low Vacancy Rates: According to SQM Research, Melbourne’s vacancy
VIEW POST
28145cbb 58e0 25a4 10c6 697eb6ca867e
Why is Melbourne’s Property Market Underperforming & What is the Government going to do about it.
The underperformance of Melbourne’s residential property market stems from a combination of economic and regulatory challenges. Economic Setbacks Victoria has faced significant economic hurdles, highlighted by a net reduction of
VIEW POST
Melbourne Housing Market Trends for 2025
Over the past 40 years, Melbourne has consistently stood out as one of Australia’s most resilient property markets. After a boom during 2020 and 2021, where property prices surged by
VIEW POST
Brisbane Aerial View
Spring surge: Why home sellers keep choosing the end of the year to sell
Amid a bumper 2024 spring selling season, analysis of selling prices shows why: November is the best month for sellers, with national prices 0.78% higher than the average throughout the
VIEW POST
Image 3 964726bfa50
Investors and first-home buyers know how to find a bargain: this is where they are looking
This spring, an influx of investors and first-home buyers has sparked heightened activity in the property market According to the latest data from PropTrack, certain suburbs have become hotspots based
VIEW POST
Rba Assistant Governor (financial Markets) Christopher Kent
RBA assistant governor (financial markets) Christopher Kent
What does a Trump government mean for Aussie mortgage holders?
Last week marked the dawn of a new political quadrennial in the United States and the return of president Donald Trump to the helm of the largest economy in the
VIEW POST
Looking Across The Yarra River From Southbank To The City Of Melbourne
Looking across the Yarra river from Southbank to the city of Melbourne
High interest rates: What could home loans look like early next year?
Borrowers hoping for some respite from mortgage pressure are hoping that 2025 will give them a chance to breathe a sigh of financial relief. The promise of lower home loan
VIEW POST
Gettyimages 950974992
Why are interest rates not going down in Australia?
A 50-basis point interest rate cut for New Zealand last week has sparked renewed questioning of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s flight path, as the country prepares to hit one
VIEW POST
5699b31aac992df42a6301cae08e4d8b 1600x1080
Making sense of housing policy proposals
With a wave of housing policy proposals hitting headlines, CoreLogic’s Head of Research Eliza Owen breaks down what these announcements could mean for the market and how effective they might
VIEW POST
Screenshot 2024 10 21 065602
Stamp duty slashed on units, apartments – but you’ll have to get in quick
Stamp duty will be slashed for all off-the-plan units, townhouses and apartments starting today under a 12-month stimulus plan by the Allan government to encourage denser developments and save buyers
VIEW POST

Get your Free Property Guide.

Here goes your text ... Select any part of your text to access the formatting toolbar.

Get your free Sales Report for Rental growth is slowing, but here’s why renters are still likely to downsize

Get your free Sales Report for Rental growth is slowing, but here’s why renters are still likely to downsize

Subscribe to hear the latest

Start The Conversation Today.

Call us on:

1300 850 730

Request a Callback:

Send us a Message:

Privacy Policy

Get your Free Property Guide

Get your free Suburb Report for Rental growth is slowing, but here’s why renters are still likely to downsize

Get your Free PDF copy of Make Money Simple Again

Privacy Policy

Who we are

Suggested text: Our website address is: https://motionproperty.com.au.

Comments

Suggested text: When visitors leave comments on the site we collect the data shown in the comments form, and also the visitor’s IP address and browser user agent string to help spam detection.

An anonymized string created from your email address (also called a hash) may be provided to the Gravatar service to see if you are using it. The Gravatar service privacy policy is available here: https://automattic.com/privacy/. After approval of your comment, your profile picture is visible to the public in the context of your comment.

Media

Suggested text: If you upload images to the website, you should avoid uploading images with embedded location data (EXIF GPS) included. Visitors to the website can download and extract any location data from images on the website.

Cookies

Suggested text: If you leave a comment on our site you may opt-in to saving your name, email address and website in cookies. These are for your convenience so that you do not have to fill in your details again when you leave another comment. These cookies will last for one year.

If you visit our login page, we will set a temporary cookie to determine if your browser accepts cookies. This cookie contains no personal data and is discarded when you close your browser.

When you log in, we will also set up several cookies to save your login information and your screen display choices. Login cookies last for two days, and screen options cookies last for a year. If you select “Remember Me”, your login will persist for two weeks. If you log out of your account, the login cookies will be removed.

If you edit or publish an article, an additional cookie will be saved in your browser. This cookie includes no personal data and simply indicates the post ID of the article you just edited. It expires after 1 day.

Embedded content from other websites

Suggested text: Articles on this site may include embedded content (e.g. videos, images, articles, etc.). Embedded content from other websites behaves in the exact same way as if the visitor has visited the other website.

These websites may collect data about you, use cookies, embed additional third-party tracking, and monitor your interaction with that embedded content, including tracking your interaction with the embedded content if you have an account and are logged in to that website.

Who we share your data with

Suggested text: If you request a password reset, your IP address will be included in the reset email.

How long we retain your data

Suggested text: If you leave a comment, the comment and its metadata are retained indefinitely. This is so we can recognize and approve any follow-up comments automatically instead of holding them in a moderation queue.

For users that register on our website (if any), we also store the personal information they provide in their user profile. All users can see, edit, or delete their personal information at any time (except they cannot change their username). Website administrators can also see and edit that information.

What rights you have over your data

Suggested text: If you have an account on this site, or have left comments, you can request to receive an exported file of the personal data we hold about you, including any data you have provided to us. You can also request that we erase any personal data we hold about you. This does not include any data we are obliged to keep for administrative, legal, or security purposes.

Where your data is sent

Suggested text: Visitor comments may be checked through an automated spam detection service.